---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEP: New Economics Papers All new papers ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Edited by: Marco Novarese http://ideas.repec.org/e/pno2.html Universita del Piemonte Orientale Date: 2005-06-19 Papers: 82 This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted+ ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1. A primer on governance and performance in small and medium- sized enterprises Enrique Yacuzzi This paper is a primer on corporate performance, corporate governance, and their interrelationships and measurement systems, with particular focus on Small and Medium- Sized Enterprises ( SMEs). This is the first report of a larger on going research project. In the domain of performance measurement the paper describes the trend from financial to non-financial measures, as well as a taxonomy of measures and the impact of the TQM movement on measurement practices. In the domain of governance, governance as a general concept is presented, followed by the more specific concept of corporate governance. Four theories of corporate governance are explained, along with literature findings on the relationship between corporate governance and corporate performance, with reference to both works on large firms and works on SMEs. Keywords: Corporate governance, corporate performance, measurement, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) JEL: G30 G34 L25 M11 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cem:doctra:293&r=all 2. Analogy-Based Expectation Equilibrium Philippe Jehiel Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cla:levrem:784828000000000106&r=all 3. Valuation Equilibria Philippe Jehiel Dov Samet Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cla:levrem:784828000000000111&r=all 4. ?Cuanto cuesta vivir en las principales ciudades colombianas? Indice de Costo de Vida Comparativo Julio Romero Actualmente no se cuenta con una medicion de las disparidades regionales en el costo de vida para Colombia. En este trabajo se calcula un indice de costo de vida comparativo. Se trata de un deflactor regional que puede ser utilizado para comparar otras variables asociadas a la demanda, tales como el ingreso laboral. Para expresar las diferencias regionales en el costo de vida se propone la construccion de un indicador que compara el gasto minimo de cada ciudad con el escenario alternativo, es decir, que este mismo plan sea evaluado en la situacion de precios de las demas ciudades. Como resultado de este trabajo se evidencia la existencia de importantes diferencias regionales en el costo de vida de los hogares colombianos; estas son, en promedio, del 26% entre la ciudad de mayor y menor costo de vida comparativo. Keywords: Economia regional, JEL: R10 Date: 2005-06-30 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:col:000122:000984&r=all 5. The Impact of Government Debt on Private Consumption in OECD Countries Robert-Paul Berben Teunis Brosens Using data for 17 OECD countries from 1983 to 2003, this paper establishes a non-linear relationship between private consumption and the level of government debt. In countries with a high level of government debt, a fiscal expansion is partly crowded out by a fall in private consumption. In contrast, in low debt countries, private consumption is insensitive to changes in government debt. This means that fiscal policy will be less effective in stabilising business cycle fluctuations at higher levels of government debt. Keywords: consumption; government debt; panel data JEL: E21 E62 C23 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:045&r=all 6. Europe Without Borders? The Effect of the EMU on Relative Prices Hisham Foad Has the formation of the European Monetary Union reduced the impact of national borders on cross-border market convergence? This paper extends Engel and Rogers (1996) well known work on border effects to cities across Western Europe over the period 1995 . 2002 and finds two key results. First, cross-border relative prices tend to be more volatile than prices between locations not separated by a border. This result is robust to a variety of potential explanations for border effects, such as uneven sampling bias, idiosyncratic price shocks, and incomplete exchange rate-pass through. Turning our attention to cross-border price volatility before and after the formation of the EMU, the effects vary by country size. Within the EMU, cross-border price volatility has not changed between the "small" countries, but has fallen significantly between the large EMU countries. Between the EMU and the UK, cross-border volatility has increased between the UK and the small EMU countries, but there has been no significant change between the UK and the large EMU countries. These results are consistent with the fact that exchange rates are more likely to adjust to price differentials between small countries than between large countries. Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:emo:wp2003:0515&r=all 7. Currency Unions, Options, and Foreign Direct Investment Hisham Foad A multinational deciding on where to locate a foreign production facility may not be indifferent to the choice of location. Numerous variables such as production costs, market access, and local tax treatments will influence the decision as to where the plant is located. Another key variable in this decision is uncertainty. Following the work of Dixit, a firm has an option to make a risky investment, and if this investment is at least partially irreversible, the option has some positive value. As the uncertainty in the investment project increases, so too does the value of the option. When comparing two investment projects that are identical in all respects except their underlying profit volatility, the one with the greater degree of uncertainty will require a higher trigger level of profits to be exercised. This paper examines the impact of uncertainty in exchange rates on a multinational.s decision to locate within or outside a currency union. The option values and trigger levels of investment within and outside the union are derived as a function of exchange rate variances and correlations, transport costs, and market size. Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:emo:wp2003:0516&r=all 8. An Efficiency Argument For Balanced Transaction Costs Maria Arbatskaya Transaction costs are usually thought to be a major source of inefficiency because they do not allow efficient trades to take place. One might think that lowering transaction costs is always welfare-improving. This paper argues that, in contrast to conventional wisdom, it may be beneficial to increase transaction costs on one side of the market to balance them with the costs on the other side. In the model, transaction costs imposed on applicants serve as a screening device that substantially reduces evaluation costs. Even when application costs are totally wasteful, they arise endogenously in the equilibrium and can result in a welfare improvement. Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:emo:wp2003:0517&r=all 9. Measuring Change in Employment Characteristics: the effects of dependent interviewing Peter Lynn (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Emanuela Sala (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Surveys that take repeat measurements on the same individuals ( panel or follow-up surveys) are often used to measure change in employment characteristics. This article is concerned with measurement error in such estimates of change and, specifically, how the error might be reduced by the use of dependent interviewing (DI) techniques. We use data from a large-scale experiment that involved two interviews at an interval of around 17 months and compare estimates of change that are obtained using three different interviewing techniques: traditional independent interviewing (INDI), proactive dependent interviewing (PDI) and reactive dependent interviewing (RDI). We examine three characteristics of the respondent’s employment (occupation, employed status, and whether or not the respondent has managerial or supervisory responsibilities) and three characteristics of the employing organisation (industry, type of organisation, number of employees). We focus on the estimation of change in each of these six characteristics. We find that PDI results in lower levels of observed change for occupation, industry and number of employees. This reduction in observed change appears to represent a reduction in measurement error as the effect of PDI is particularly pronounced amongst respondents who have not reported a change in job between survey waves. Levels of change in employment characteristics amongst INDI respondents who have not reported a change in job remain implausibly high. The reduction in measurement error brought about by PDI is particularly associated with certain employment characteristics. A reduction in the observed level of change in occupation is associated with SOC major groups 1-4 and respondents working at workplaces with large number of employees. A reduction in the observed level of change in industry is associated with certain industries and with respondents who are managers or professionals (SOC major groups 1 or 2) or have foreman or supervisor status. A reduction with PDI in the observed level of change in number of employees at the workplace is associated with large workplaces, having foreman/supervisor status, being employed in the public administration or education sectors, and being in a craft or related occupation or a plant or machine operative. We also found that measurement error was particularly reduced by PDI amongst respondents aged 36 or over and amongst the most highly qualified respondents. Keywords: Measurement error, employment, interviewers, survey errors, survey methodology Date: 2004-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2004-26&r=all 10. The Impact of Interviewing Method On Measurement Error in Panel Survey Measures of Benefit Receipt: evidence from a validation study Stephen P. Jenkins (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Annette Jackle (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Peter Lynn (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Emanuela Sala (Institute for Social and Economic Research) This article is concerned with measurement error in panel survey reports of social security benefit receipt. Our aims are two-fold. First, we attempt to quantify the extent of measurement error and to identify its correlates. Second, we assess the extent to which this varies according to the questioning method used. Specifically, dependent interviewing has been proposed as a way to reduce under-reporting in some circumstances and we compare two versions of dependent interviewing (DI) with traditional independent interviewing in an experimental design. We use data from a large-scale UK household panel survey and we consider six benefits. To assess the measurement error, a validation exercise was conducted, with administrative data on benefit receipt matched at the individual level to the survey micro data. Keywords: Measurement error, dependent interviewing, longitudinal data quality, panel data Date: 2004-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2004-28&r=all 11. Marriage and Wages Elena Bardasi (The World Bank) Mark P. Taylor (Institute for Social and Economic Research) This work investigates the presence of and potential economic explanations for a wage premium for married men in Britain using panel data covering the 1990s. We explicitly test several hypotheses developed in the literature to explain this premium, including the household division of labour and specialisation, differential rates of human capital formation, employer favouritism, and self-selection. After accounting for individual specific, time invariant effects, and a wide range of individual, household and job and employer related characteristics, we find a small, but statistically significant premium remains that can be attributed to productivity effects. Our estimates provide evidence for the existence of a large effect of selection into marriage based on both observable and unobservable characteristics that are positively correlated with wages, and limited evidence in support of the specialisation and human capital accumulation explanations. Keywords: bhps, marriage, panel data, wage growth, wages Date: 2005-02 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2005-01&r=all 12. Differences in Delaying Motherhood across European Countries: empirical evidence from the ECHP Cheti Nicoletti (Institute for Social and Economic Research) The age at motherhood has increased in most European Countries in the past decades. The main aim of this paper is to assess the impact of women's education and work experience on the timing of first birth across the European Union (EU). According to the literature - based on income maximisation framework (Gustafsson 2001, Hotz et al. 1997) - women with a higher degree of education and a shorter work experience are more likely to delay motherhood or to remain childless. However, recent micro-level studies have shown contradictory empirical evidence. For instance, higher educated women or career women seem to enter motherhood earlier in the Northern European Countries (Kravdal 1994, Hoem 2000, Andersson 2001). Conceivably, these ambiguous findings might reflect substantial cross-country differences that we would like to point out. Therefore, we conduct an analysis to explain how the probability to enter into motherhood differs across 10 European Union countries by using the European Community Household Panel survey (ECHP). On one side, the gap between countries may reflect differences in the observed characteristics of the national women populations, such as differences in the female labour participation and in the human capital investment. On the other side, the gap may be instead due to different fertility behaviours across countries. In the empirical application we try to disentangle between these two reasons. Keywords: cross-national research methods, europe, fertility Date: 2005-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2005-04&r=all 13. Methods for Summarizing and Comparing Wealth Distributions Stephen P. Jenkins (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Markus Jantti (University of Tampere) This paper reviews methods for summarizing and comparing wealth distributions. We show that many of the tools commonly used to summarize income distributions can also be applied to wealth distributions, albeit adapted in order to account for the distinctive features of wealth distributions: zero and negative wealth values; spikes in density at or around zero; right- skewness with long and sparse tails combined with non-trivial prevalence of extreme values. Illustrations are provided using data for Finland. Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2005-05&r=all 14. Are Scottish Degrees Better? Mark P. Taylor (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Robert E. Wright (University of Stirling) In wave 12 of the BHPS, information was collected about the institution attended by respondents with higher education, making it possible to identify those who studied and Scottish and English institutions. In this paper, wage equation are estimated with panel data methods in an attempt to measure differences in the rates of return to Scottish and English degrees. The analysis suggests that the earnings returns to higher education are larger in Scotland than in England. However the return to English degrees appears to be higher than for Scottish degrees in both the English and Scottish labour markets. Keywords: bhps, earnings, education Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2005-06&r=all 15. Does Dependent Interviewing Really Increase Efficiency and Reduce Respondent Burden? Annette Jackle (Institute for Social and Economic Research) Dependent interviewing techniques, where substantive information from previous interviews is fed forward and used in the formulation of questions or to prompt post-response edit checks, are increasingly employed by panel surveys. While there is substantial evidence that dependent interviewing improves the quality of longitudinal data, claims of improved efficiency of data collection and reduced respondent burden are mostly anecdotal. This paper uses data from a large experiment to systematically compare the effects of different question designs on efficiency and burden. The comparison highlights the wide variety of design options for dependent interviewing questions and their corresponding effects. In the present setup, efficiency gains were mainly due to reductions in coding costs for occupation and industry questions. The paper concludes by identifying the conditions under which dependent interviewing offers the largest scope for efficiency gains and burden reduction. Keywords: data collection, dependent interviewing Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ese:iserwp:2005-11&r=all 16. The Economics of Entrepreneurship: What We Know and What We Don't Simon C Parker This introductory, non-technical, article offers a reflective overview of what Economics adds to our understanding of entrepreneurship. It is designed primarily to showcase to young entrepreneurship scholars several interesting research questions and a toolbox of methods to answer them. First, I will illustrate the kinds of questions that can be posed and answered using Economics. Then I will present and discuss a selective list of "canonical" theoretical and empirical models that form the intellectual bedrock of the Economics of Entrepreneurship. After that, I present and discuss some well-established theoretical contributions and empirical findings that have been generated by the approach. I conclude by discussing aspects of "What we don't know" and should. This part of the article identifies several ideal future trends in research that build on and complement the foundations of entrepreneurship that are delineated in the main body of the article. URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:egpdis:2005-18&r=all 17. Two Theories of Entrepreneurship: Alternative Assumptions and the Study of Entrepreneurial Action Sharon A. Alvarez URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:egpdis:2005-19&r=all 18. Where in Entrepreneurship Research Heading? Scott Shane URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:egpdis:2005-20&r=all 19. Entrepreneurship and Innovation Zoltan J. Acs David B. Audretsch URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:egpdis:2005-21&r=all 20. Firm Level Implications of Early Stage Venture Capital Investment - An Empiri cal Investigation Max Keilbach Dirk Engel The paper analyses the impact of venture capital finance on growth and innovation activities of young German firms. Among other variables, our panel of firm data includes data on venture capital funding and patent applications. With statistical matching procedures we draw an adequate control group of non­venture funded but otherwise comparable firms. The analysis confirms other findings that venture funded firms in Germany have higher number of patent applications than those in the control group. However, they do so already before the venture capitalists engagement. After this engagement, the number of patent applications does not differ significantly from that of the control group, however the venture funded firms display significantly larger growthrates. We conclude that the higher innovation output of venture funded firms is mainly driven by the selection process made by the venture capitalist. Keywords: Firm Demography, Firm Start­Ups, Firm Growth, Venture Capital, Patented Inventions, Microeconometric Evaluation Methods JEL: L21 D21 D92 C14 C33 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:egpdis:2005-22&r=all 21. Discrimination against Newcomers: Impacts of the German Emission Trading Regime on the Electricity Sector Bode, Sven Hubl, Lothar Schaffner, Joey Twelemann, Sven The EU Directive 2003/87/EC for the introduction of a European emission trading system has left the task of allocating the emission allowances mainly to the member states. In Germany the details of the allocation method are laid down in the Allocation Act (ZuG 2007). One central element of the Allocation Act is the so called transfer-rule, which is intended to provide incentives for the replacement of emission intensive installations and thus to achieve environmental benefits. This paper takes a closer look at the transfer-rule's ecological impacts and competitive effects in the field of electricity generation. The analysis suggests that the investment incentives provided by the transfer-rule are limited and uncertain, while at the same time the overall amount of emissions from participants of the trading scheme will not be reduced. Instead the transfer-rule causes windfall profits for incumbent generators and leads to a significant distortion of competition. This cannot be justified by environmental benefits, as has been done by the German government and the European Commission. Keywords: Emission Trading, Competition, Electricity JEL: L49 L94 Q28 Q48 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-316&r=all 22. Are objective, official measures of disability reliable? Johansson, Per (IFAU - Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation) Skedinger, Per (Research Institute of Industrial Economics ( IUI)) The issue considered in this study is whether objective, official reports on disability status are reliable. While there is a rather large literature on the reliability of self-reported disability, evidence regarding objective data is scant. It seems to be a widely held view among researchers that, since individuals out of work are inclined to respond towards poor health, it would be best to have official data provided by the relevant administrative bodies. But we argue that such administrative data should be regarded with some suspicion, since the administrators also may have incentives to misreport. The empirical evidence, based on a large sample of Swedish jobseekers, suggests systematic misreporting by the Public Employment Service of objective, official disability measures due to incentives to exaggerate disability. Keywords: Work disability; classification error; public employment service JEL: I12 J28 J68 Date: 2005-05-16 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:ifauwp:2005_014&r=all 23. Investment Liberalization - Why a Restrictive Cross-Border Merger Policy can be Counterproductive Norback, Pehr-Johan (The Research Institute of Industrial Economics) Persson, Lars (The Research Institute of Industrial Economics) Investment liberalizing countries are often concerned that cross- border mergers & acquisitions, in contrast to greenfield investments, might have an adverse effect on domestic firms and consumers. However, given that domestic assets are sufficiently scarce, we identify a preemption effect and an asset complementarity effect, which imply that the acquisition price is substantially higher than the domestic seller's profits. Moreover, we show that for the acquisition to take place, the MNE must be sufficiently efficient when using the domestic assets, otherwise rivals will expand their business, thereby making the acquisition unprofitable. Consequently, restricting cross-border M&As may also hurt consumers. Keywords: Investment Liberalization; Mergers & Acquisitions; Development; Ownership JEL: F23 K21 L13 O12 Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:iuiwop:0644&r=all 24. Annual Estimates of Swedish GDP in 1720-1800 Edvinsson, Rodney (Stockholm University) For the period 1800 onwards, annual figures over GDP and GDP per capita for Sweden have been presented in different studies. For the 18th century no such annual series exist. The aim of this paper is to present annual data on GDP and GDP per capita in volume values for Sweden for the whole period 1720-1800. Only very rough estimates are provided, which are not based on any disaggregation of the different components of GDP. To estimate annual fluctuations, four different indicators are used: changes in the official accounts of harvests, marriage rates, the price of rye and import of un-milled grains. When investigating the long-term trends, the conclusion is that there was only a very modest increase in GDP per capita over the studied period. The growth of the GDP per capita became substantial not until the mid 19th century. However, GDP grew significantly during the studied period, but this growth mainly took the form of population growth. This in itself constituted a kind of technological progress, allowing a larger population per unit of land without a significant decrease in per capita production. Keywords: GDP; 18th century; Sweden; economic growth; national accounts; economic history JEL: E23 E32 J10 N13 N53 O10 O13 O47 O52 Q13 Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:ratioi:0070&r=all 25. Real and Nominal Wage Adjustment in Open Economies Forslund, Anders (Institute for Labour Makret Policy Evaluation) Gottfries, Nils (Department of Economics) Westermark, Andreas (Department of Economics) A wage equation for a small open economy is derived and estimated on aggregate data for the Nordic countries. The equation is derived from a model of wage bargaining over nominal wages; hence both long run coefficients and adjustment parameters have clear economic interpretations. Wages depend on the scope ( main course) for wage increases; based on our theoretical model we interpret this as evidence of union bargaining power. Unemployment benefits have substantial effects on wages in all four countries. There is substantial nominal wage rigidity; hence changes in exchange rates have large and persistent effects on competitiveness. Keywords: wage formation; bargaining; rent sharing; turnover; search; exchange rate policy; wage equation; wage rigidity; competitiveness JEL: E52 F33 F41 J31 J51 J63 J64 Date: 2005-06-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:uunewp:2005_018&r=all 26. Freedom, Servitude and Voluntary Contract Jonathan Conning (Hunter College, Department of Economics) Michael Kevane (Santa Clara University, Department of Economics) We present a framework to revisit and reframe some important debates over the nature of free versus unfree labor and the economic consequences of emancipation. We use a simple general equilibrium model in which labor can be either free or coerced and where land and labor will be exchanged on markets that can be competitive or manipulated or via other non-market collusive arrangements. Tied labor-service contracts and other forms of 'servility' clauses are 'necessary' only as a strategy to help landlords sustain a collusive arrangement to pay workers wages below their marginal product. We discuss two purported paradoxed that have been stressed in the literature: the paradox of immiserizing emancipation (that explains why total output fell in so many post-emancipation societies) and the paradox of bans ( that claims that interference with workers freedom to enter into voluntary contracts can only be Pareto-decreasing. We argue that while these paradoxes are generally valid when examined in the context of simpler bilateral contracting situations, they fail to consider important general equilibrium considerations. JEL: N50 O1 O12 O17 P14 P16 Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:htr:hcecon:408&r=all 27. Culture and Institutions: economic development in the regions of Europe Guido Tabellini Does culture have a causal effect on economic development? The data on European regions suggest that it does. Culture is measured by indicators of individual values and beliefs, such as trust and respect for others, and confidence in individual selfdetermination. To isolate the exogenous variation in culture, I rely on two historical variables used as instruments: the literacy rate at the end of the XIXth century, and the political institutions in place over the past several centuries. The political and social history of Europe provides a rich source of variation in these two variables at a regional level. The exogenous component of culture due to history is strongly correlated with current regional economic development, after controlling for contemporaneous education, urbanization rates around 1850 and national effects. Moreover, the data do not reject the over-identifying assumption that the two historical variables used as instruments only influence regional development through culture. The indicators of culture used in this paper are also strongly correlated with economic development and with available measures of institutions in a cross-country setting. URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:igi:igierp:292&r=all 28. Autoregressive Approximation in Nonstandard Situations: The Non-Invertible and Fractionally Integrated Cases. D. S. Poskitt Autoregressive models are commonly employed to analyze empirical time series. In practice, however, any autoregressive model will only be an approximation to reality and in order to achieve a reasonable approximation and allow for full generality the order of the autoregression, h say, must be allowed to go to infinity with T, the sample size. Although results are available on the estimation of autoregressive models when h increases indefinitely with T such results are usually predicated on assumptions that exclude (i) non-invertible processes and (ii) fractionally integrated processes. In this paper we will investigate the consequences of fitting long autoregressions under regularity conditions that allow for these two situations and where an infinite autoregressive representation of the process need not exist. Uniform convergence rates for the sample autocovariances are derived and corresponding convergence rates for the estimates of AR(h) approximations are established. A central limit theorem for the coefficient estimates is also obtained. An extension of a result on the predictive optimality of AIC to fractional and non- invertible processes is obtained. Keywords: Autoregression, Autoregressive approximation, Fractional process, Non-invertibility, Order selection, Asymptotic efficiency. JEL: C14 C32 C53 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:msh:ebswps:2005-16&r=all 29. The Political Economy of Portuguese Intergovernmental Grants Linda Goncalves Veiga (Universidade do Minho - NIPE) Maria Manuel Pinho (Universidade do Porto) We use a large and unexplored dataset covering all mainland Portuguese municipalities from 1979 to 2002 to evaluate the impact of political forces in the allocation of grants from the central government to local authorities. Empirical results clearly show that, besides variables that proxi local population needs and the macroeconomic situation of the country, political variables condition the granting system: (1) grants increase in municipal and legislative election years, (2) the larger the number of years a mayor has been in office, the larger the amount of funds transferred to his/her municipality. These effects are particularly strong for grants that are not formula-determined. Keywords: political economy, intergovernmental relations, grants, Portugal. JEL: H77 H59 D72 Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nip:nipewp:8/2005&r=all 30. Privatizing the Commons and Economic Degradation Christopher J. Ellis (University of Oregon) Edward Birdyshaw (California State University, Fresno) We develop a dynamic model of the exploitation of an environmental resource with endogenous property rights. We are able to explain both the evolution of property rights and environmental quality. In some circumstances the time path of environmental quality is U-shaped and resembles an Environmental Kuznets Curve. However this patern derives from changes in the property rights regime, not from changes in income. Keywords: Commons, Property Rights, Environmental Resource JEL: Q20 Q50 Date: 2005-05-01 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ore:uoecwp:2005-10&r=all 31. Market Integration in Wholesale Rice Markets in India Raghbendra Jha K.V. Bhanu Murthy Anurag Sharma This paper tests for market integration in 55 wholesale rice markets in India using monthly data over the period January 1970 - December 1999. The technique of Gonzalez-Rivera and Helfand ( 2001) is used to identify common factors across various markets. It is discovered that market integration is far from complete in India and a major reason for this is the excessive interference in rice markets by government agencies. As a result it is hard for scarcity conditions in isolated markets to be picked up by markets with abundance in supply. A number of policy implications are also considered. Keywords: Length (pages): 36 Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pas:asarcc:2005-03&r=all 32. Nash rationalizability of collective choice over lotteries T. DEMUYNCK L. LAUWERS To test the joint hypothesis that players in a noncooperative game (allowing mixed strategies) maximize expected utilities and select a Nash equilibrium, it suffices to study the reaction of the revealed collective choice upon changes in the space of strategies available to the players. The joint hypothesis is supported if the revealed choices satisfy an extended version of Richter’s congruence axiom together with a contraction- expansion axiom that models the noncooperative behavior. In addition, we provide sufficient and necessary conditions for a binary relation to have an independent ordering extension, and for individual choices over lotteries to be rationalizable. Keywords: independence condition, binary extensions, rationalizability, Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies JEL: C72 C92 Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/301&r=all 33. Implementing Extended Producer Responsibility in Flemish Waste Policy: Evaluation of the Introduction of the Duty of Acceptance R. BRACKE M. DE CLERCQ In order to implement extended producer responsibility in the Flemish waste policy, the Flemish government introduced the duty of acceptance in the Waste Decree. At the moment, the duty applies for paper, batteries, vehicles, tyres and electrical and electronic equipment. Producers are obliged to set up free of charge take-back collection systems for the disposal of their products in the post-consumption phase. As such, market failure is corrected by reconverting social costs into private ones, respecting the polluter pays principle. For the practical execution of the basic rules laid down in the legal framework, negotiated agreements are concluded with sector associations. This sector-based policy approach allows setting up efficient collection and disposal networks taking into account the specific characteristics of each waste product rather than implementing a uniform system. Although the duty of acceptance confronts producers with waste management responsibilities, they have actually succeeded in shifting most of the burden to the recovery sector. As waste management organisations have become the rightful owner of end-of-life products, they were able to create a rivalry amongst waste management companies. This enabled them to impose the recovery targets, to which the producers have engaged themselves in the negotiated agreements, on the recovery sector. On the one hand the monopolistic position of these waste management organisations stimulates market concentration in the recovery sector, setting aside small and medium sized companies, which could lead to negative monopolistic consequences. On the other hand, this entails a positive effect on the environmental performance of the recovery sector. Moreover, a lot of management tasks are passed on from government administrations to these private waste management organisations so that more government resources can be spent to tailor-made waste policy making. Additional resources and learning experiences have significantly improved the quality of more recently concluded negotiated agreements. Convinced that this innovative policy approach contributes to the overall goal of sustainable development, the government has already planned to start up additional sector- based policy programs based on the duty of acceptance. Keywords: Waste management policy, extended producer responsibility, negotiated agreements, duty of acceptance Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/302&r=all 34. Environmental Auditing and the Role of the Accountancy Profession: A Literature Review P. DE MOOR I. DE BEELDE This review of the literature on environmental auditing and the potential role of accountants distinguishes between compliance audits and audits of the environmental management system. After an extensive introduction to the concept, this review focuses on the similarities and differences between an environmental audit and a financial statement audit. Except that environmental audits are largely unregulated, the general approach to both types of audits is similar. Both audits place an emphasis on the evaluation of control systems, which is an argument in favor of external auditors playing a role in environmental audits. Another argument for including external accountants, is their code of ethics. However, these professionals seem to be reluctant to enter the field of environmental auditing. It is argued that this reluctance is because of a lack of generally accepted principles for conducting environmental audits. If external accountants are engaged in environmental auditing, they should be part of multidisciplinary teams that also include scientists and engineers to avoid a too strong focus on procedures. Rather than treating these audits as totally different, it is proposed that there be a move towards integrated, or even universal, audits. Keywords: Environmental auditing, Environmental reporting, Compliance audit, Environmental management system, External auditors Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/303&r=all 35. Internal Auditor’s Perception about their Role in Risk Management Comparison between Belgian and US Companies G. SARENS I. DE BEELDE In addition to a number of quantitative studies in this area, this study wants firstly to elaborate in a complementary qualitative way how internal auditors perceive their current role in risk management within the Belgian context where internal auditing is a relatively young profession. Secondly, we want to investigate whether, under the influence of recent changes in corporate governance regulations, a greater financial emphasis in internal auditors’ work can be noticed. Thirdly, we are interested in differences between Belgian companies and Belgian subsidiaries of US companies with relation to internal auditors’ role in risk management. In order to get adequate data, we interviewed 10 Chief Audit Executives and collected relevant documents. The data reveal that the specific content of internal auditors’ role in risk management is very time and country specific. For the Belgian companies, internal auditors’ focus on acute shortcomings in the risk management system creates opportunities to demonstrate their value in the short run. Internal auditors are playing a pioneering role in the creation of a higher level of risk and control awareness and a more formalised, standardised, transparent and documented risk management system. In the Belgian subsidiaries of US companies, internal auditors’ objective evaluations and opinions are a valuable input for the new internal control review and disclosure requirements mentioned in the Sarbanes Oxley Act. Moreover, an enhanced attention for financial controls and the quality of financial reporting was noticed within these companies. Keywords: internal auditors, risk assessment, risk management, risk and internal control communication, Sarbanes Oxley Act, interviews Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/304&r=all 36. On the IASB Comprehensive Income Project, Neutrality of Display and the Case for Two EPS Numbers P. VAN CAUWENBERGE I. DE BEELDE The IASB is presently involved in a project on reporting comprehensive income. Since the IASB accounting system is a mixture of two income determination methods, to wit historical cost accounting and fair value accounting, an interesting question pertains to whether the display of comprehensive income should be neutral with regard to these two competing paradigms. This paper scrutinizes, with a valuation perspective in mind, the typical arguments made by proponents of historical cost net income and comprehensive fair value income and finds that claims for exclusive reliance on a single concept of earnings are untenable. This means that a case could be made for advancing neutral income display as a policy objective. The matrix format of comprehensive income that is proposed under the IASB performance project certainly allows for such a neutral interpretation. However, given the importance of summarization in financial analysis, as is most extremely reflected in the focus on the earnings per share (EPS) number, if neutrality is to prevail, then it should also be reflected at the highest level of summarization of financial performance reporting. In other words, mandatory publication of two EPS numbers, one for net income and one for comprehensive income, should be considered. Possible effects on perception and actual use of financial reports that should enter such a consideration are suggested as topics for experimental research. Keywords: Comprehensive income; Neutrality of income display; Double EPS reporting Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/305&r=all 37. Outsourcing bij Vlaamse Ondernemingen: een Exploratief Onderzoek P. EVERAERT G. SARENS In deze paper onderzoeken we hoe Vlaamse bedrijven beslissen over outsourcing. In dit verkennende onderzoek komen volgende aspecten aan bod: (1) de soort activiteiten die worden uitbesteed, (2) de voornaamste drijfveren om aan outsourcing te doen, (3) de gepercipieerde risico’s verbonden aan outsourcing, en (4) het verloop van het outsourcingsproces. De resultaten zijn gebaseerd op een vragenlijst, afgenomen bij 35 grote productiebedrijven, gevestigd in Vlaanderen. De resultaten tonen dat vooral activiteiten worden uitbesteed met een lage strategische waarde ( zoals drukwerk, transport, loonadministratie, onderhoud, ...) wat overeenstemt met internationaal onderzoek (o.a. Quinn en Hilmer, 1994). Strategisch belangrijke activiteiten (zoals netwerkbeheer, onderzoek en ontwikkeling, productie) worden momenteel niet (of nauwelijks) uitbesteed en worden ook niet in aanmerking genomen voor de toekomst. Als voornaamste redenen om aan outsourcing te doen worden kostenbeheersing en verhoogde flexibiliteit aangehaald. De respondenten schatten het negatieve sociale klimaat in als voornaamste risico van outsourcing. Ondanks het feit dat kostenbeheersing reden nummer een is om aan outsourcing te doen, vinden Vlaamse ondernemingen het aangeboden kwaliteitsniveau iets belangrijker dan de te betalen prijs bij de selectie van een geschikte leverancier. Het hele selectieproces duurt gemiddeld genomen twee maanden en twee derde van de respondenten maakt gebruik van meerdere leveranciers. Keywords: uitbesteden, outsourcing, Vlaamse ondernemingen, exploratief onderzoek JEL: M10 M55 Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/306&r=all 38. Bank Supervision Russian Style: Rules vs Enforcement and Tacit Objectives S. CLAEYS G. LANINE K. SCHOORs We focus on the conflict between two central bank objectives, namely individual bank stability and systemic stability. We study the licensing policy of the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) in 1999- 2002. Banks in poorly banked regions, banks that are too big to be disciplined adequately and banks that are active on the interbank market enjoy protection from license withdrawal, showing a tacit concern for systemic stability. The CBR is also reluctant to withdraw licenses from banks that violate the individuals’ deposits to capital ratio, because this conflicts with the tacit CBR objective to secure depositor trust and systemic stability. Keywords: Bank supervision, bank crisis, Russia JEL: G2 N2 E5 Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/307&r=all 39. Boycotts, power politics or trust building: how to prevent conflict? A. SCHOLLAERT D. VAN DE GAER In a game of imperfect information, the paper analyzes whether different types of intervention by third parties can ensure that political (ethnic, religious, social, . . . ) groups within a country will pursue a cooperative strategy and how easy it is to predict their effects. We conclude that a strong boycott is the most effective instrument, then comes a weak boycott, followed by power politics. Finally, apart from requiring very detailed information on the relevant parameters of the economy, the use of confidence building measures has a serious flaw: it is incapable of averting civil war. Keywords: Non Cooperative Games; Third-party Intervention; Conflict Prevention JEL: C72 D74 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/308&r=all 40. How to Catch Foreign Fish? FDI and Privatisation in EU Accession Countries B. MERLEVEDE K. SCHOORS In a partial adjustment framework the observed FDI stock is the result of two driving forces. First, the stock converges towards its equilibrium level, even without policy changes. Second, the equilibrium level itself is driven by changes in its determinants. By means of a dynamic panel data analysis we examine the determinants of investment by ‘old’ EU-members in ten countries of Central and Eastern Europe. We find a rapid adjustment towards equilibrium. Traditional variables, such as market potential, trade integration, and relative unit labour costs, are fairly stable as determinants of equilibrium FDI stocks in transition economies. Institutional development in all its forms is a robust determinant of the optimal level of FDI. The relationship between FDI and the privatization process is complex. Non-direct privatization schemes negatively affect the speed of adjustment towards the equilibrium, whereas current direct privatization strategies positively affect the equilibrium level of FDI. Privatization history increases equilibrium FDI, independently of the method applied. Keywords: foreign direct investment, privatisation, partial adjustment JEL: F20 F23 P33 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rug:rugwps:05/309&r=all 41. Do On-Line Labor Market Intermediaries Matter? The Impact of AlmaLaurea on the University-to-Work Transition Manuel Bagues Mauro Sylos Labini University-to-work transition is affected by different kinds of information imperfections and asymmetries. The present paper studies the consequences of on-line institutional arrangements aimed at reducing information imperfections in this segment of the labor market. More specifically, this work is concerned with the impact of a specific labor intermediary, the interuniversity consortium called AlmaLaurea, on the graduates labor market outcomes. In order to measure the effect of AlmaLaurea a pooled cross section data set is exploited employing the "difference-in- differences" method. It is shown that AlmaLaurea has a clear effect on both individual unemployment probability and different measures of job satisfaction. Keywords: Labor Markets Intermediaries, Job Search, Electronic Markets URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2005/15&r=all 42. Explaining the Distribution of Firms Growth Rates Giulio Bottazzi Angelo Secchi Empirical analyses on aggregated datasets have revealed a common exponential behavior in the shape of the probability density of the corporate growth rates. We present clearcut evidence on this topic using disaggregated data. We explain the observed regularities proposing a model in which the firms’ ability of taking up new business opportunities increases with the number of opportunities already exploited. A theoretical result is presented for the limiting case in which the number of firms and opportunities go to infinity. Moreover, using simulations, we show that even in a small industry the agreement with asymptotic results is almost complete. URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2005/16&r=all 43. Unobservable Heterogeneity in Directed Search Peters, Michael This paper studies a simple directed search model where workers have private information about their own productivity. Their productivity is observable to firms once workers apply but not verifiable so that it cannot be directly rewarded by firms in the form of higher wages. This unobservable heterogeneity among workers provides a very natural way of modeling application decisions. More important, this approach breaks the tight connection between the wage and unemployment duration that appears to constitute a weakness of the directed search approach. In a particular, using the reciprocal of the employment probability as a proxy for average duration of unemployment, the model predicts an inverse relationship between the wage at which a worker leaves unemployment and the average duration of unemployment. This prediction is consistent with existing empirical work on the topic, but differs from previous models of directed search. Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ubc:pmicro:peters-05-06-13-01-50-30&r=all 44. Welfare Reform, Saving, and Vehicle Ownership: Do Asset Limits and Vehicle Exemptions Matter? James X. Sullivan (University of Notre Dame) This paper examines whether AFDC/TANF asset tests affect the asset holdings of low-educated single mothers, exploiting variation in asset limits and exemptions across states and over time. There are important reasons to examine vehicle assets in this context. For example, vehicles make up a very significant share of total wealth for poor families, and the variation in vehicle exemptions over time and across states far exceeds the variation in asset limits. Consistent with other recent research, I find little evidence that asset limits have an effect on the amount of liquid assets that single mothers hold. However, I find evidence that vehicle exemptions do have an important effect on vehicle assets. The findings suggest that moving from a $1500 vehicle exemption to a full vehicle exemption increases the probability of owning a car by 20 percentage points for low- educated single mothers relative to a comparison group. Also, the results indicate that single mothers are not substituting vehicle equity for liquid assets in response to more relaxed restrictions on vehicles. Keywords: Sullivan, TANF, eligibility, vehicle, asset limits Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:upj:weupjo:05-117&r=all 45. Inferential Expectations Gordon Menzies (School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney) Daniel John Zizzo (University of East Anglia) We propose that the formation of beliefs be treated as statistical hypothesis tests, and we label such beliefs inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, agents are assumed to switch to the rational expectation. Rational expectations are shown to be a special (limiting) case of inferential expectations, with the test size a becoming a metric for rationality. When inferential expectations are built into a Dornbusch-style model of the exchange rate, regression tests of Uncovered Interest Parity and the rational expectations version of the term structure both display downward bias in the slope coefficient. We present the results of an experiment that supports inferential expectations. Keywords: expectations; macroeconomics; rationality; uncovered interest parity; term structure; exchange rate JEL: C91 D84 E50 F31 Date: 2005-05-01 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uts:rpaper:159&r=all 46. Inspiration About The Economy ZhaoYuan Wang (/) If there is a kind of theory can explain people ' s daily life that is economy. JEL: C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C8 Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0506006&r=all 47. Structural change in Export and economics growth: Analysis for spain (1980-2001) zaharey (UMS-Labuan International Campus) Structural change in Export and economics growth: Analysis for spain (1980-2001) Keywords: ekonometrik JEL: C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C8 Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0506007&r=all 48. Chaotic expansion of powers and martingale representation ( v1.2) Farshid Jamshidian (Univ. of Twente) This paper extends a recent martingale representation result of [N-S] for a L\'{e}vy process to filtrations generated by a rather large class of semimartingales. As in [N-S], we assume the underlying processes have moments of all orders, but here we allow angle brackets to be stochastic. Following their approach, including a chaotic expansion, and incorporating an idea of strong orthogonalization from [D], we show that the stable subspace generated by Teugels martingales is dense in the space of square-integrable martingales, yielding the representation. While discontinuities are of primary interest here, the special case of a (possibly infinite-dimensional) Brownian filtration is an easy consequence. Keywords: Martingale Representation, chaotic expansion, power brackets, Teugels martingales, Hilbert space, strong orthogonalization JEL: G Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0506008&r=all 49. Non Cooperative Games: design of fictitious republic money for exchange control, banking and taxation Krishna Gopal Misra (QUALITYMETER.COM) 'Reality of money' is curiously similar to uncertainty theory of Heisenberg) quantum physics. To some (natural societies), legitimacy of exchange control is derived by associating it with certain physical significance of 'real' goods. Exchange control is thus decided by producers in commodity exchanges. Others ( Republicans of Greek civilization) think, money can be only a symbolic or fictitious unit, and any physical significance attached to it will undermine sanctity (in respect to space and time) of money used as unit for measurement of the prices. Under these circumstances, exchange control is monopoly of republics and debt engine produces competition and enterprises in people. There are two worlds. Performance of markets (Republics vs. Natural Societies) is going to test which of the perspective and understanding are true and for how long. A republic is design of a game of Master and Slaves in creating forces of competition with fictitious (unreal or without physical significance) coupons. This is a human nature that people are excited so much about unreal things and they can always produce any amount of real / natural things or sacrifices to pay for unreal or unknowable. Gaming/ gambling unfortunately uses of this human weakness in making slaves compete among themselves. This article describes design of Republican (Greek civilization) monetary system as a NON CO-OPERATIVE GAMES and how the psychograph of ignorant souls is exploited by the state, and how the mess of economics is successfully able to create a form of criminal peace and prosperity. This article discusses the valuation of prices, unit price or measuring unit for prices, legitimacy of exchange control in markets, invention of commodity exchanges using 'real' money, invention of 'fictitious' money, banking, state monopoly of exchange control and mathematical legitimacy of interests and taxation. Keywords: liberatarians, free markets, ligitimacy of exchange control, natural thinking on economics, human psychology in economics JEL: A Date: 2005-06-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0506006&r=all 50. Porter and Weihrich: Two Faces of a Strategic Matrix for Developing the Portuguese Molds Industry Joao Leitao (Universidade da Beira Interior) Carlos Deodato (Universidade da Beira Interior) The Portuguese producers of Molds are in its majority of small or medium dimension, competing in highly competitive international markets and using processes, which incorporate new technologies. The present study aims to identify the strategic quadrants for developing the Portuguese Molds Industry, in order to overcome the growing competition originated by the producers located in East Europe, and in Asia. In this sense, a strategic diagnosis is made, using, in first place, the model of the five competitive forces of Porter (1986) and, in second place, the TOWS Matrix of Weihrich (1982). Through the identification of the five competitive forces, we find out that the suppliers have a considerable bargaining power, and that the threat of new enters doesn't exercise great pressure on the industry, in analysis. Furthermore, the determinants of the rivalry are strong, whereas the threat for substitutes is weak. According to the application of the TOWS Matrix, we retain that this industry presents a good competitive positioning in the international markets; nevertheless, she has to bet in the formation of a specialized labour force, and in the promotion of a trade mark image, in order to increase the market power, and to overcome the direct competitors. Keywords: Clusters, Competitive Strategy, Molds. JEL: M20 M21 Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpio:0506007&r=all 51. China Business: Experiential Viewpoints and Approaches Kiyoshi Urakami (Urakami Asia Management Research) Asian business has undergone substantial changes with the emergence of China. This paper aims at describing general trends in China business strategies being sought and followed by the Japanese multinationals in the electronics industry based on the authorfs practical business experiences with Hitachi, Ltd. in the region. One of the objectives of the paper is to document the authorfs experiential viewpoints and approaches. Keywords: Regional headquarters, Greater China region, Market place, Full ownership business JEL: F1 F2 Date: 2005-06-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0506004&r=all 52. A NOTE ON INCOME CONVERGE EFFECTS IN REGIONAL INTEGRATION AGREEMENTS Fabrizio Carmignani (United Nations Economic Commission for Europe) This paper investigates the extent of per-capita income convergence in regional integration initiatives. Panel unit root testing is performed on 28 regional groupings. There is evidence of convergence in South- South integration, but this might be taking place to the bottom. Keywords: Regional integration, Income convergence, Heterogeneous dynamic panels. JEL: F15 O40 C12 C23 Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0506005&r=all 53. Dreamland Boonserm Booncharoenpol (Krirk University Bangkok Thailand) Dreamland is an economic idea for ideal society like Utopia of Moore but it is more applicable to the real world. A man, Boon, had visited a wonderful land and told us what he met in the ideal country. For example: no liquor, limitation of personal wealth, education without degree. If any country follow the ideal country, people will be happy. Keywords: ideal society, history of economic thought, socialism, Buddhist economics JEL: B Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpmh:0506001&r=all 54. A theory of endogenous time preference, and discounted utility anomalies Svetlana Boyarchenko (The University of Texas at Austin) Sergei Levendorskii (The University of Texas at Austin) We explain essentially all known discounted utility anomalies as artefacts of the optimizing behavior of an individual with a time- separable utility function, who perceives a good as a source of a stochastic consumption stream, and believes that she can wait for an optimal moment to buy or sell the good. For this individual, the fair price of the corresponding utility stream is interpreted as an integral of a deterministic utility stream multiplied by certain non-exponential factors which we interpret as endogenous discount factors; the factors are different for gains and losses, and depend on the utility function and underlying uncertainty. We provide analytic expressions and numerical examples for discount factors assuming simple utility functions and gaussian uncertainty. Keywords: Time preference, discounted utility anomalies, decision-making under uncertainty, optimal stopping JEL: D81 D91 C61 G31 Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpmi:0506005&r=all 55. Book-Tax Gap. An Income Horse Race Maurizio Bovi (ISAE - Institute for Studies & Economic Analyses) This paper presents some stylised facts about the book-tax gap, i.e. the difference between book and taxable income, of Italian corporations. This divergence is a reflection of the usage of any tax shields and any applicable credits and rebates which, in turn, implies that the concept of taxable income is elusive. Moreover overlapping fiscal policies make harder, on the one hand, firms’ tax planning and, on the other hand, policymakers’ control on the effectiveness of their manoeuvres. As for the fiscal year 2000, evidence based on data drawn from the Diecofis database shows that, as expected (why pay more?), in Italy there is a widespread and active industry set up to enable taxpayers to identify and take advantage of particular tax effects. In that year 55,201 (16% of the) firms were able to report positive book profits and to indicate non positive taxable incomes. A less expected outcome shows that the “income race” may finish in a quite different way. More than half (57%) of the uneconomic companies, ends up with positive taxable incomes (83,449 in absolute terms). A disaggregated analysis highlights that this latter share is much more lower among southern corporations and large enterprises, especially in the construction and in the hotel/restaurant services sectors. Finally, it results that industries whose firms more often declare negative taxable incomes tend to display significantly higher shares of irregular workers, as well. Keywords: Corporate income tax, tax avoidance, accounting JEL: G14 M4 K2 Date: 2005-06-13 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwppe:0506009&r=all 56. ?Pueden competir los pequenos productores mexicanos en el mundo actual? Gustavo Gordillo Paul Lewin Keywords: desarrollo rural, comercio, competitividad, agricultura familiar, pequenos productores, ejido, TLC JEL: D6 D7 H Date: 2005-06-14 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwppe:0506010&r=all 57. The Lagrange multipliers and existence of competitive equilibrium in an intertemporal model with endogenous leisure Nguyen Manh Hung (CERMSEM) San Nguyen Van (CERMSEM) This paper proves the existence of competitive equilibrium in a single sector dynamic economy with elastic labor supply. The method of proof relies on some recent results (see Le Van and Saglam [2004]) concerning the existence of Lagrange multipliers in infinite dimensional spaces and their representation as a summable sequence. Keywords: Optimal growth model, Lagrange multipliers, competitive equilibrium, elastic labor supply JEL: C61 C62 D51 E13 O41 Date: 2005-01 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:b05041&r=all 58. Les fondements economiques de la gratuite des biens et services informationnels. Financement indirect et investissement en gratuite Francoise Vasselin (MATISSE) Usually, an economic good isn't available gratuitously, but the case of information goods and services (IGS) is specific. Their intrinsic properties allow zero prices that is unconceivable for the others economic private goods. The gratuitousness is not the aim of productive activity ; it results from private choices we can group into two innovative generic models. On the one hand, the indirect financing of gratuitousness for information services is based on natural factors of gratuitousness inherent in information. On the other hand, the offer strategy of information goods uses potential factors of gratuitousness linked to their production and their distribution. These models are founded on the information valorisation, the getting round of intellectual property rights, opportunity cost and sacrifice of margins that constitute the economic foundations of gratuitousness of IGS. Keywords: Information goods and services, free, economies of scale, externalities, rivalry, exclusion, appropriation, strategy, financing, investment JEL: D62 H41 M2 Date: 2005-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:r05037&r=all 59. L'evaluation du RMI : la simplification de la demarche et ses enjeux Jacques Bouchoux (MATISSE) Yvette Houzel (MATISSE) Jean-Luc Outin (MATISSE) This paper analyses the different evaluation programs which have been conducted since the beginning of the minimum income policy in 1989. It's aimed at interpreting the links between the evaluation models and the policies. Two approaches can be highlighted ; the first one, that we can all « pluralistic approach » started with the early works of the national evaluation committee until the mid-90's and combined many purposes and procedures. Despite the extensive knowledge gained about the problems of poverty, it led to very few public decisions. The second approach initiated in the mid-90's resulted from the rising cost of the policy of minimum income due to the increasing number of beneficiaries. By focusing on simple indicators of efficiency and using econometric methods, the analysis appears more restrictive but it led to policy decisions which deeply modified the minimum income policy. Keywords: Evaluation, minimum income, public policy, quantitative methods, qualitative methods JEL: I3 I32 I38 Date: 2005-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:r05038&r=all 60. Exploration and exploitation strategies. What kind of analytical models ? Nadia Jacoby (MATISSE) This paper gives some insights related to the combination of exploration and exploitation behaviors. A recurrent question for firms deals with this blend of exploration and exploitation mechanisms. Firms are engaged in new activities like research and at the same time in more routine ones like development and production. Thus, they should find a satisfying arrangement between exploitation. But in order to do that, they should better understand their working. This paper analyzes adaptive systems through exploration and exploitation behaviors of firms. In order to better understand the temporal articulation of those behaviors, we refer to a mapping representation of search processes using NK models (Kauffman, 1993). Keywords: Evolutionary approaches of firms, exploration and exploitation behaviors, NK models JEL: C63 L21 Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:r05040&r=all 61. Evolutionary analysis of the firm and internal selection Nadia Jacoby (MATISSE) Evolutionary approaches of the firm devote a part of their analysis to firm behavior and to some processes acting inside the firm , however the internal workings of firms are, most of the time, not deeply analyzed. In this perspective, this paper attemps to investigate whether C we can drop internal selection in the evolutionary analysis of the firm E. In ordre to answer this question, we propose a micro-simulation model of internal selection where firms are engaged in production and R&D activities. They carry out two kinds of R&D and do not run any imitation process. Internal selection acts on R&D projects and we measure the impact of the selection mechanism on the firm's performances. The model generates persistent differences between firms according to their internal selection process. Keywords: Innovation, internal selection, market dynamics, R&D, technological performance JEL: C63 L11 L21 O32 Date: 2005-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:r05042&r=all 62. Entre gouvernance et leadership : la palabre et le chef Juliette Arnal (LESSOR - UniversitZ Rennes II et MATISSE) Jean-Pierre Galavielle (MATISSE) The question concerning the domain covered by entreprise governance has not been definitely settled and neither has the question of the dividing line between governance and leadership. Thus, the real issue is the interpretation of governance to-day. Does it have to be confronted with that other mode of management which is leadership ? Actually, the dividing line does not seem to be definitive. This remark appears to be all the more realistic as the decisions taken daily by entreprise refer simultaneously to social and societal dimensions. Furthermore, embedded in those two logics, the government of material objects is frequently opposed to the government of people. Thus, it seems adequate to juxtapose the "law of the market" and a possible responsibility of leading employees. Finally, it appears that confidence plays the part of mediator between governance and leadership, which explains the emergence of a certain number of instruments of ethical codifications, codes of conduct and norms. Keywords: Economic ethics, governance, leadership, social and societal responsibility, enterprise citizenship, confidence, codes, deontology. JEL: D2 D6 I3 K3 M14 Date: 2004-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:r05043&r=all 63. Towards sustainable lignite consumption in Turkey and a welfare analysis Olfa Jaballi (EUREQua) Sebnem Sahin (EUREQua & OECD) Sustainable consumption is at the center of sustainable development that every country seems to want. One of the great challenges of this century must be to understand what drives the consumption and how we can reduce consumption through increased efficiency. However consumption is not simply determined by population growth, which is commonly assumed to be a key cause of unsustainable consumption, but also by economic activity, technology choices, social values, institutions and policies. In this paper, we focus our analysis on lignite consumption in Turkey as an exhaustible natural resource and we assume that the consumption is only the ultimate end of the economic activity. Some improvments of the Weitzman model (1976) are proposed by introducing an environmental preference parameter into the model to complement his interpretation of welfare. Our aim is to pass from theory to practical applications by presenting some modest empirical results. Our model is constructed under GAMS for the period 1980-2080 using Turkish data and leads to the interesting result that an environmental taxation policy can lead to a social welfare increase in Turkey. Keywords: Dynamic welfare, exhaustible resource, sustainable consumption JEL: D90 Q01 Q30 Date: 2005-04 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:v05039&r=all 64. Discrete choice models of labour supply, behavioural microsimulation and the Spanish tax reform. Jose M. Labeaga Xisco Oliver Amedeo Spadaro In this paper, we demonstrate the potential of behavioural microsimulation models as powerful tools for the ex ante evaluation of public policies. The subject of our analysis is the impact of recent Spanish Income Tax reforms on efficiency and household and social welfare. We also analyze the likely effects of some basic income - flat tax and vital minimum - flat tax schemes. The analysis is carried out using a microsimulation model in which labour supply is explicitly taken into account. Instead of following the traditional continuous approach (Hausman 1981, 1985a, and 1985b), we estimate the direct utility function using the methodology proposed by Van Soest (1995). Our data come from a sample of Spanish individuals in the 1995 wave of the EC Household Panel. We show that in the Spanish case, the redistribution policies considered have only little impact on the efficiency of the economy. On the contrary, they strongly affect social welfare. Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pse:psecon:2005-13&r=all 65. Ambition and Jealousy. Income Interactions in the "Old" Europe Versus the "New" Europe and the United States. Claudia Senik This paper asks how income distribution affects individual well- being and tries to explore the idea that this relation depends on the degree of mobility and uncertainty in the economy. It mostly concentrates on the relation between satisfaction and reference income (defined as the income of one's professional peers), and hinges on the micro-econometric analysis of household survey data mostly panel), including subjective attitudinal questions. Using over one million observations, it uncovers a divide, in the perception of income inequality, between "old" -low mobility- European countries on the one hand, and "new" European post- Transition countries and the United States, on the other hand. Whereas "jealousy" is dominant in the former, "ambition" is even stronger in the latter. Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pse:psecon:2005-14&r=all 66. Combining Revealed and Stated Preference Data to Estimate the Nonmarket Value of Ecological Services: An Assessment of the State of the Science John C. Whitehead (Appalachian State University) Subhrendu K. Pattanayak George L. Van Houtven This paper reviews the marketing, transportation, and environmental economics literature on the joint estimation of revealed and stated preference data. The revealed preference and stated preference approaches are first described with a focus on the strengths and weaknesses of each. Recognizing these strengths and weaknesses, the potential gains from combining data are described. A classification system for combined data that emphasizes the type of data combination and the econometric models used is proposed. A methodological review of the literature is pursued based on this classification system. Examples from the environmental economics literature are highlighted. A discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of each type of jointly estimated model is then presented. Suggestions for future research, in particular opportunities for application of these models to environmental quality valuation, are presented. Date: 2003 Date: 2005 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:apl:wpaper:05-15&r=all 67. Market Efficiency and International Linkage of Stock Prices: An Analysis with High-Frequency Data Yoshiro Tsutsui (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University) Kenjiro Hirayama (School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University) This paper uses one-minute returns on the TOPIX and S&P500 to examine the efficiency of the Tokyo and New York Stock Exchanges. Our major finding is that Tokyo completes reactions to New York within six minutes, but New York reacts within fourteen minutes. Dividing the sample period into three subperiods, we found that the efficiency has improved and the magnitude of reaction has become larger over the period in both markets. The magnitude of response in New York to a fall in Tokyo is roughly double that of a rise. Keywords: international linkage, stock prices, market efficiency, high frequency data JEL: G14 G15 F36 Date: 2003-01 Date: 2004-10 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0304r&r=all 68. Measuring Education Levels of Farmers: Evidence from Innovation Adoption in Bangladesh Masakazu Hojo (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University) Education levels of farmers have been measured in a variety of ways in preceding studies. In order to examine whether or not different measures of education have different effects on the behavior of farmers, I first summarize the measures of education and then perform an empirical analysis. Although education measures examined in this paper have been used in many studies, their effects are shown to differ significantly in my empirical analysis: some variables have positive impacts on farmerfs behavior while others do not. This result suggests we have to pay more attention to selecting measures of education in empirical investigations. Keywords: Education; Agriculture; Technology adoption; Bangladesh JEL: I20 Q12 Q16 Date: 2004-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-06&r=all 69. Rational Addiction, Tax Revenues and Tobacco Control Junmin Wan (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University) The hypotheses of non-addiction, myopia and rational addiction are tested using annual, quarterly and monthly data. Changes in the prices of Japanese cigarettes can be viewed as natural experiments from the point of view of consumer behavior, because the Japanese government controls cigarette prices. The empirical results of this paper support the addiction hypothesis. The short- run and long-run price elasticities range from - 0.338to -0.421, and from -0.679 to -0.686, respectively; thus, increases in tax revenues in the long-run are likely to be smaller than those in the short-run. As a result, tax increases would be an effective means of curbing smoking and reducing its social cost. Furthermore, the debt compensation programs for the Japan Railway and the National Forestry will not go according to plan, unless revenues are increased in the future. Keywords: smoking, rational addiction, tax revenues JEL: D12 E21 H29 Date: 2002-08 Date: 2004-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-11&r=all 70. Response to Health Information: Evidence from Cigarette Consumption and Intake of Nicotine and Tar in Japan Junmin Wan (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University) This paper introduces a new way to examine the effects of mandatory information disclosure on inter-brand cigarette demands and the behavior of a monopolistic firm in Japan. I estimated inter-brand demands by including nicotine, tar content, and policy event information in the model and by using cigarette brand sales data. I found that the mandatory disclosure of nicotine and tar content information decreased the intake of nicotine and tar per capita and per smoker; thus mandatory disclosure is likely to increase consumersf welfare, if we suppose that they always choose their favorite cigarette. Furthermore, I found that the monopolistic firm supplied more, new, and better quality products, discontinued the production of poorer quality goods, and conducted more R & D, in response to disclosure mandates. Keywords: Rational addiction; Smoking; Health information; Tobacco control JEL: I18 D11 D12 Date: 2002-09 Date: 2004-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-12&r=all 71. Responses of Consumers to the Mandatory Disclosure of Information: Evidence from Japanese Inter-brand Cigarette Sales Junmin Wan (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University) This paper introduces a new way to examine the effects of mandatory information disclosure on inter-brand cigarette demands and the behavior of a monopolistic firm in Japan. I estimated inter-brand demands by including nicotine, tar content, and policy event information in the model and by using cigarette brand sales data. I found that the mandatory disclosure of nicotine and tar content information decreased the intake of nicotine and tar per capita and per smoker; thus mandatory disclosure is likely to increase consumersf welfare, if we suppose that they always choose their favorite cigarette. Furthermore, I found that the monopolistic firm supplied more, new, and better quality products, discontinued the production of poorer quality goods, and conducted more R & D, in response to disclosure mandates. Keywords: inter-brand cigarette, nicotine, tar, mandatory disclosure JEL: I18 D12 D82 Date: 2004-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-13&r=all 72. Welfare Analysis of Debt Policy during Recessions Takayuki Ogawa (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University) This paper develops an overlapping-generations model with nominal wage rigidities and examines the welfare effects of debt policy during recessions. Issues of public debt stimulate aggregate consumption demand and create employment. Future generations then face both increased wage incomes and higher taxes. If the amount of outstanding bonds is already large, debt policy deteriorates the welfare of future generations by levying heavy taxes. By contrast, if the outstanding bond issue is relatively small, debt policy can be Pareto improving by creating more employment. Therefore, the welfare implications of debt policy during recessions can be discriminated from those during booms. Keywords: debt policy, overlapping generations, welfare effects. JEL: E12 E24 H63 Date: 2004-07 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-14&r=all 73. Who Benefits from a Better Education Environment? Akiomi Kitagawa (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) Ryo Horii (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) Koichi Futagami (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) Using an overlapping generations model, this note shows that an improvement in the efficiency of human capital production decreases the net income of the young household while increasing that of the old. Without compensating redistribution, it deteriorates lifetime utilities of all generations except for the initial old households. Keywords: human capital; intergenerational income distribution; overlapping generations. JEL: J24 O15 I22 Date: 2004-07 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:04-15&r=all 74. Monetary Transmissions Immediately after the Crisis in East Asia Masahiro Enya (Faculty of Politics, Economics and Law Osaka International University) Akira Kohsaka (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University) We examine dynamic patterns of macroeconomic variables in East Asia immediately after the Asian financial crisis. Particularly, focusing on East Asia, we can identify their distinctive features from those of aggregate cross-country results. Also, we check with the financial crises in East Asia in the 1980s in order to make sure to what extent the contrast between the aggregate cross- country results and that of the Asian financial crisis comes from differences in time (external environment) or in country structure or both. Some distinctive features in East Asia include higher real interest rates in the crisis year, persistent output as well as investment slowdown, and different behaviors of trade and fiscal surpluses after the crisis. The results suggest that initial monetary tightening be responsible for the unexpectedly serious recession and that favorable external conditions and fiscal stimulus did contribute to the post-crisis real recovery even without credit recoveries. Keywords: macroeconomic dynamics, East Asia, financial crisis JEL: E5 O11 O53 Date: 2004-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0405&r=all 75. Environmental Kuznets Curve on Country Level: Evidence from China Junyi Shen (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University) Yoshizo Hashimoto (Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University) The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis proposes that there is an inverse-U-shape relationship between environmental degradation and per capita income. This evidence has been manifested to be existed in most air pollutants and several water pollutants by estimating on cross-country data. Different from most earlier empirical studies, this paper uses the cross- province panel data of seven pollutants from China to investigate whether the EKC hypothesis may even exist on a country level. The estimated results find out that the EKC hypothesis exists in five of these pollutants, while the other two show a N-shape relationship between pollutant emission and per capita income. Moreover, this paper suggests some problems of this regression as being remained for future study. Keywords: Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), pollution emission, economic growth, GDP per capita Date: 2004-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0409&r=all 76. The Comparative Statics on Asset Prices Based on Bull and Bear Market Measure Masamitsu Ohnishi (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University; Daiwa Securities Chair, Graduate School of Economics, Kyoto University) Yusuke Osaki (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) For single?period complete financial asset markets with representative investors, we introduce a bull market measure for uncertain state occurrence and its associated ordering between representative investors in markets based on their marginal rate of substitution between equilibrium consumption allocations among possible states. These concepts combine and generalize the likelihood?ratio?dominance relation between probability prospects of state occurrence and the Arrow?Pratt ordering of risk aversion in expected utility settings. By analyzing the comparative statics for bull market effects on equilibrium asset prices, we derive some monotone properties of the risk?free rate and discounted prices of dividend?monotone assets. Keywords: Equilibrium Derivative Price, First-order Stochastic Dominance, Noise Risk, Risk-Neutral Probability. JEL: C65 D51 D81 G12 Date: 2004-05 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0410&r=all 77. Pricing of a Chooser Flexible Cap and its Calibration Daisuke Ito (Sumitomo Mitsui Bank) Masamitsu Ohnishi (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University; Daiwa Securities Chair, Graduate School of Economics, Kyoto University) Yusuke Osaki (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) In this paper, we deal with no-arbitrage pricing problems of a chooser flexible cap (floor) written on an underlying LIBOR. The chooser flexible cap (floor) allows a right for a buyer to exercise a limited and pre-determined number of the interim period caplets (floorlets) in a multiple-period cap (floor) agreement. Assuming a common diffusion short rate dynamics, e.g., Hull-White model, we propose a dynamic programming approach for their risk neutral evaluation. This framework is suited to a calibration from an observed initial yield curve and market price data of discount bonds, caplets, and floorlets. Keywords: chooser exible cap, LIBOR, dynamic programming, Hull- White model, calibration. JEL: G13 G15 G21 Date: 2004-10 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0418&r=all 78. The Comparative Statics of Equilibrium Derivative Prices Masamitsu Ohnishi (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University; Daiwa Securities Chair, Graduate School of Economics, Kyoto University) Yusuke Osaki (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) We examine the conditions for preferences and risks that guarantee monotonicity of equilibrium derivative prices. In a Lucas economy with a derivative, we derive the equilibrium derivative price under expectation with respect to risk-neutral probability, and analyze comparative statics on the equilibrium derivative price based on the risk-neutral probability. Keywords: Equilibrium Derivative Price, First-order Stochastic Dominance, Noise Risk, Risk-Neutral Probability. JEL: C65 D51 D81 G12 Date: 2004-11 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0419&r=all 79. Various Features of the Chooser Flexible Cap Masamitsu Ohnishi (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) Yasuhiro Tamba (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) In this paper, we theoretically look into various features of a chooser flexible cap. The chooser flexible cap is a financial instrument written on an underlying market interest rate index, LIBOR (London Inter-Bank Offer Rate). The chooser flexible cap allows a right for a buyer to exercise a limited and pre- determined number of the interim period caplets in a multiple- period cap agreement. While the chooser flexible cap is more flexible and cheaper instrument than the normal cap, its pricing is more complicated than the cap's because of its flexibility. So it may take long time for its price calculation. We can use the features to cut down the calculation time. At the same time the option holder can use the features for exercise strategies. Keywords: chooser exible cap, LIBOR, dynamic programming, exercise strategy. JEL: G13 G15 G21 Date: 2004-12 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0420&r=all 80. Finance, PROMETHEE Multicriteria Analysis for Evaluation of Recycling Strategies in Malaysia Santha Chenayah (Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya) Eiji Takeda (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) At present, the per capita generation of solid waste in Malaysia varies from 0.45 to 2kg/day depending on the economic status of an area. In general, the per capita generation rate is about 1kg/day. Even though 17,000 tonnes/day of solid waste is being generated, only 5% is being recycled. If this particular scenario continues without appropriate mitigation, Malaysia will be facing a serious problem in municipal solid waste management. Hence, government has targeted 22% of waste to be recycled by 2020. Various strategies have been formulated in achieving this figure. In Malaysia, research is being done vastly on recycling but very few related to multicriteria. As a first step, we propose here an evaluation of various recycling strategies and ranking them based on multicriteria to provide an insight on increasing the recycling activities among residents. Since values of alternatives are imprecise, ambiguous and/or uncertain, the multicriteria outranking analysis is particularly useful in order to facilitate further detailed consideration. The problem of the selection or the ranking of alternatives submitted to a multicriteria evaluation is not an easy problem economically or mathematically. We propose a modified PROMETHEE analysis for treating multicriteria problems. Keywords: solid waste management, recycling, multicriteria decision-aid (MCDA), PROMETHEE, outrank-ing relations. JEL: C44 C61 Q53 Date: 2005-02 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0501&r=all 81. Pricing a Bermudan Swaption with a Short Rate Lattice Method Yasuhiro Tamba (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University) This paper presents the tree construction approach to pricing a Bermudan swaption. The Bermudan swaption is an option, which at each date in a schedule of exercise dates gives the holder the right to enter an interest swap, provided that this right has not been exercised at any previous time in the schedule. Assuming a common diffusion short rate dynamics, the Hull-White model, we propose a dynamic programming approach for their risk neutral evaluation. This framework is suited to a calibration from an observed initial yield curve and market price data of discount bonds and European swaptions. Keywords: Bermudan swaption, swap rate, risk neutral evaluation, dynamic programming, Hull-White model, calibration. JEL: G13 G15 G21 Date: 2005-03 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osk:wpaper:0503&r=all 82. Reward Programs and Entry Deterrence Lester M.K. Kwong (Department of Economics, Brock University) This paper seeks to endogenize consumer switching costs by considering simple reward programs in the form of a price discount on future purchases for current consumers to a firm. In a two period model with a more cost efficient potential entrant, we show that for sufficiently low entry costs, the introduction of a reward program by an incumbent is never optimal. For intermediate values of the entry cost, there exists a bounded interval of rewards under which entry can be successfully deterred. Nevertheless, the desirability for the incumbent to preclude entry is solely contingent on the relative cost efficiency of the entrant. Keywords: Reward and Loyalty programs, Barrier to Entry, Entry deterrence, Switching Costs JEL: D4 L13 Date: 2004-08 Date: 2005-06 URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:brk:wpaper:0501&r=all